• Local currency rating AA- with negative outlook
  • Unwinding of property market poses some risk of economic hard landing
  • Concerned banking system will face rising loan impairments
  • Expects more debt to migrate to sovereign balance sheet after 2009-2011 credit surge
  • Banking problems could impact credit supply; growth

Some cautionary words despite the stable outlook. A modest negative for commodity currencies, though it is not as though the market has not considered the possibility of a Chinese slowdown after massive government stimulus of recent years.