WSJ poll 11 point Clinton lead

The House speaker Paul Ryan announced today that he would not withdraw his endorsement for embattled Donald, but he will not campaign for the presidential nominee either. IN effect, he threw in the towel in the Presidential race. The announcement drew harsh criticism from party hardliners. Donald Trump tweeted (maybe DT should buy Twitter if he loses?),

IN other political news, a new WSJ/NBC poll showed that Clinton had a 11 point poll lead over Trump in a poll taken after the audiotapes were released on Friday. That is up from a 6 point lead. The poll is a 4-way Matchup including Gary Johnson and Jill Stein. Clinton received 46% support while Trump got 35%. Johnson received 9% of the voter support, while Stein got 1%.

In a poll with only 2 candidates, the results show that Clinton leads Trump by 52% to 38%. This suggests that a vote for neither candidate is a vote for Trump.

The polls may overstate the Clinton lead as most feel that Trump did better/Clinton worse in the debate last night, and the impact of the lewd comments may fade away over time assuming there are no new damnable offenses.

The Univ of Virginia Center for Politics is also projecting that Clinton has a commanding 341 to 197 lead in electoral votes. To win a total of 270 electoral votes are needed.

In the Senate races, the projections are a dead heat with 47 seats "leaning to safe" on the Democrat side and 47 "leaning to safe" on the Republican side. There are 6 toss ups. The Republicans currently hold a 54-46 lead in the Senate.

In the House, the Republicans control the 435 seats with a 246 to 186 lead (with 3 vacant seats).

The projections from www.270towin.com expect that the House will remain in Republican control with 230 to 193 advantage with 12 toss ups.

With the Senate a toss up, but the House still with Republican control (albeit a small majority), Speaker Ryan's focus on the House seats becomes more of a concern. The Republicans cannot afford to loose the Presidency, the Senate AND the House. Using a favorite line from Donald Trump, "That... would be a disaster".

There are 29 days left, and one more debate (on October 19th). What else could possibly happen? Just wait and see.