Morgan Stanley says its indicator is designed to catch turning points in the economy

  • it fell by 32 points in June
  • drop is the largest one-month decline on record
  • and the indicator is at lowest level since December 2008 (everyone remember what was going on then, right?)

MS says its signalling "June gloom":

  • "The decline shows a sharp deterioration in sentiment this month that was broad-based across sectors′
  • "Fundamental indicators point to a broad softening of activity, but analysts did not widely attribute the weakening to trade policy."

Via CNBC (overnight report hence the ICYMI)

Morgan Stanley indicator designed to catch turning points in the economy