ICYMI - much anticipated poll/model puts UK PM on track to win a majority at the election

Author: Eamonn Sheridan | Category: News

The projected majority is 68, which would be a nice win indeed for the Conservative Party and Boris Johnson.

Here's the news from earlier:
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Its a constituency-by-constituency estimate by YouGov
  • published in The Times
It shows that if the election had have been held on 28 Nov, 
  • Conservative Party would win 359 seats, up 42 on what did in 2017 (in number of seats this would be its best performance since 1987)
  • Labour, would lose 51 seats (from 262 seats in 2017 to 211) … would be the party's worst performance in seats won since 1983
Why is this poll so anticipated?
  • YouGov used the same method in the 2017 general election, when it accurately predicted the results in 93% of constituencies and pointed towards a hung Parliament
  • While everyone else, pretty much, was forecasting a big win for PM May
GBP traded up on the results and has retraced somewhat, not all:

The projected majority is 68, which would be a nice win indeed for the Conservative Party and Boris Johnson.



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