Comments on the trade deal

  • Will increase US employment by 176K jobs
  • US imports from Canada and Mexico to climb $31.5B
  • US exports to Canada and Mexico to climb $33.3B
  • Sees higher US auto prices
  • Full report

This is from the US International Trade Commission (not the ITC as I initially thought) so take it with a grain of salt. Even with the partisan angle, they're only forecasting a 0.35% increase in GDP six years after it's implemented.

I'm curious to see the impact on Mexico and Canada although modeling out these things is always a bit of a lark.