Economic growth data from japan for the fourth quarter of 2018

All the priors and the preliminary release can be found here.

The final readings now:

  • GDP (seasonally adjusted), final, 0.5% q/q
  • GDP Annualized (seasonally adjusted), final 1.9% y/y
  • GDP Nominal (seasonally adjusted), final 0.4% q/q
  • GDP Deflator y/y, final
  • GDP Consumer Spending (aka private Consumption) 0.4% y/y
  • GDP Business Spending 2.7% y/y

Growth coming in quicker than preliminary measures had suggested.

The better results (on this and on the spending data out earlier) are a positive for the yen to extent they a bit more comfort for the BOJ. I would not emphasise this too much though, the BOJ is still a very long way from the inflation target and will in no way be considering an exit from easy monetary policy at any time soon.

but, yeah, at the margin a yen positive.

Data out at the same time:

BoP Current Account Balance for January Y600.4bn

  • expected ¥ 161.0B, prior ¥ 452.8B

BoP Current Account Adjusted: Y b1833n

  • expected ¥ 1385.3B, prior ¥ 1562.3B

Trade Balance BoP Basis: Y -964.8bn

  • expected ¥ -1133.1B, prior ¥ 216.2B

Bank Lending excluding trusts February, y/y: 2.3%

  • prior 2.4%

Bank Lending including trusts y/y: 2.4%

  • prior 2.4%

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Earlier we got a nice beat for the consumer:

Japanese economic data continues to be choppy, which is better than uniformly bad as we have unfortunately seen for long stretches in the past.