Due at 2350 GMT

The numbers ...

  • GDP (seasonally adjusted), preliminary, q/q: expected 0.4%, prior 0.6%
  • GDP Annualized (seasonally adjusted), preliminary y/y: expected 1.5%, prior 2.5%
  • GDP Nominal (seasonally adjusted), preliminary q/q: expected 0.6%, prior 0.7%
  • GDP Deflator y/y for Q2, preliminary: expected 0.1%, prior -0.4%
  • GDP Consumer Spending y/y, q/q, expected is -0.4%, prior was 0.8%
  • GDP Business Spending y/y, preliminary q/q: expected 0.3%, prior was 0.5%

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Barclays:

  • We estimate that real GDP growth slowed versus Q2, but remained above potential, extending Japan's recovery to a seventh consecutive quarter.
  • This assumes the contribution of net exports to q/q growth bounced back (our estimate: 0.4pp), while consumption fell (our estimate: 0.4% q/q) after spiking in Q2 (0.8% q/q).

HSBC:

  • We estimate that real GDP increased 0.4% q-o-q sa in Q3 2017, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of q-o-q growth.
  • The BoJ's September Tankan survey suggests that real economic activity remained firm, supported by ongoing strength in exports on the back of the global economic recovery.