Speaking at NY Economic Club

  • Guess is announcement on new tariffs will be soon
  • The big story is the changes in policy and the economic boom
  • The tariff story may be a good thing. Market is saying trade reforms are necessary. That may be reflected in the stock markets performance.
  • Still awaiting serious talks on China.
  • Not going to rule out a trade deal with China.
  • Would tell Chinese to just say yes on some trade issue of substance, US has put out asks.
  • Mnuchin is in touch and negotiating with Chinese officials
  • Trump has a grand strategy for trade negotiations, but it is hard to implement their reforms
  • not near point where terms will be impacting the economy
  • monitoring impact of tariffs on price pressures very carefully
  • The gap in deficit is spending too much.
  • Working on cutting spending
  • The US will likely run deficits of 4-5% of GDP over the next few years.