A bit less than 48 hours to go until the ECB announces the size of its interest rate hike. 25 basis points is fully priced in with an additional 12 basis points priced in, suggesting the market is split between a 25 and 50 bp hike.

Given the sovereign debt and banking woes, I’ll side with the 25 bp camp, but expect a series of hikes in the months ahead.

4-5 odds