NZ data - ANZ Monthly Inflation Gauge (January) +1.1% m/m … 'slow grind'

Author: Eamonn Sheridan | Category: News

ANZ's privately produced inflation gauge for New Zealand 

+1.1% m/m in January
  • the largest monthly rise since late 2015
ANZ's 'key points':
details are less striking
  • temporary factors contributed around two thirds of January's monthly rise
  • Looking through monthly volatility, implied quarterly growth from the Gauge is sitting comfortably in a 0.6-0.8% range. Annual growth ticked down from 2.3% to 2.2% (the lowest annual rate since mid-2017). Notwithstanding the miss in June 2018 (the largest miss since 2010), the Gauge has given an accurate read on non-tradable inflation for the last two CPI prints
  • Overall, prices are rising in a gradual yet unspectacular fashion on the back of previous strength in the economy. We expect non-tradable inflation will nudge higher in the short term, but then dissipate. 
  • Broad-based inflationary pressure is still largely missing, outside of housing
(bolding mine … the headline does indeed look dramatic but ANZ says No)

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