From a Goldman Sachs piece on oil, the investment bank's expectations and reasoning (in brief):
Still expects Brent Crude price to retest $80/bbl
- "US oil policies may leave this occurring late this year rather than this summer as we previously expected"
GS cite:
Supply shifts create risk of an oil market move into surplus by August
- continuing surge in Saudi production
- Libya and Iran supply shifts also
Then see a fall in Iran exports bringing market back to a deficit in November
More:
- Brent prices skewed to downside in the near term
- On demand GS says it remains robust