That helps to explain the drop in oil prices

  • OPEC output rose 390K bpd in October versus September

  • Output hits 33.31 mbpd, highest since Dec 2016

  • UAE, Libya and Saudi Arabia boosted output while Venezuela and Iran cut production

  • Iran output fell to 3.35 mbpd vs 3.45 mbpd prior

  • Saudi production 10.65 mbpd vs 10.53 mbpd prior

  • Venezuela 1.18 mbpd vs 1.25 mpbd prior

  • UAE 3.25 mbpd vs 3.05 mbpd prior

UAE and Saudi Arabia produced significantly over quota while Iran and Venezuela were under it. Overall, OPEC still producing at less than its overall target but cut compliance is down to 107% from 122%.

I highly doubt that the UAE and Saudi Arabia can keep up at these levels and we'll see what happens to Iran when the sanctions kick in. There's some thinking that the Saudis were working with Trump to keep gasoline prices down ahead of the midterms, then they'll announce lower quotas or simply produce less.

These numbers are from the Reuters survey, which is the most-watched in the industry.