A Reuters poll of analysts, cites a slowing economic growth outlook

  • softening domestic and export demand
  • Likely to prompt further PBOC easy monetary policy this year

The number of analysts predicting the yuan will weaken to 7 per dollar or beyond at any time during the polling horizon increased in the latest poll from previous months and was the highest since a July 2017 survey.

The move beyond 7 will come despite a widely-held view the Chinese authorities will step in to defend that key level say analysts

January 2-8 poll

  • more than 70 foreign exchange strategists
  • yuan to 6.95 per dollar by end-June
  • forecast to end the year at 6.89 per dollar