The opening statement from Poloz

  • Trade war is already having negative consequences

  • Seeing persistently 'subpar' wage growth

  • Housing taking longer to stabilize than expected

  • Risks of trade war are two sided

  • It remains to be see if oil prices will stay as weak they are currently

  • Canadian mandated production cuts caused an immediate correction in Canadian oil discount

  • The impact of oil price drop will be about 25% of 2014-16 episode

  • We need to monitor housing but markets in Toronto and Vancouver were exhibiting froth

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