A trade call from RBC on USD/JPY (note dated from April 13):

  • Recommends long USD/JPY at 120.40
  • Target of 124.00
  • Stop-loss at 119.00
  • They cite the balance of risk has to favor yen downside given long-term capital outflows are going into foreign stocks despite leveraged positioning is now back to neutral
  • Short JPY would also work if markets continue to turn risk-seeking

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USD/JPY has had a bit of a dip this morning, just exacerbated in the past 20 minutes or so by comments of Abe adviser Hamada re-crossing the Bloomberg terminal