Richmond Fed manufacturing index

The Richmond Fed manufacturing index for February came in weaker than expected at -2 versus +10 estimate. This is much lower than the 20 reading in January.

  • Shipments +1 versus +29 in January
  • services revenue index 26 versus +10 in January
  • new orders -10 versus +13 last month
  • order backlog -6 versus +9 last month
  • capacity utilization 2 versus 14 last month
  • inventory levels of finished goods 21 versus 28 last month
  • inventory levels of raw goods 34 versus 37 last month
  • number of employees 8 versus 20 last month
  • wages 26 versus 21 last month
  • availability of skilled needs -35 versus -26 last month
  • capital expenditures 6 versus 15 last month
  • local business conditions 6 versus 16 last month
  • prices paid 1.95% versus 1.21% last month (annualized percentage change)
  • prices received 1.54% versus 1.31% (annualized percentage change

the range of estimates for the manufacturing index were from 3 to 15.

The Richmond Fed reached -5 in December 2019. The low for 2019 reached -12 in July.

The most recent high was last month 20 reading. The 2017 and 2018 highs both reached +26.

Moving back into the negative is not great. However the index can be quite volatile.

Richmond Fed manufacturing index dips back into negative