The prior month came in at -2

Richmond Fed manufacturing index comes in better-than-expected at 2 versus -15 estimate
  • Richmond Fed manufacturing index comes in better than expected at +2 versus -15 estimate
  • prior month was at -2
  • services revenue index +1 versus +26 in February
  • shipments index +13 versus +1 in February
  • new orders come in at 0 versus -10 last month
  • backlog of orders -8 versus -6 last month
  • employment -7 versus +8 last month
  • wages 20 versus 26 last month
  • average workweek 3 versus -4 last month
  • local business conditions -15 versus 6 last month
  • capital expenditures 9 versus 6 last month
  • equipment and software spending 9 versus 0 last month
  • service expenditures -10 versus 0 last month
  • price is paid 1.29% versus 1.95% last month (annualized)
  • prices received 1.22% versus 1.54% last month (annualized)

Although the current conditions were more favorable than expectations, the future expectations showed more weakness:

  • shipments -19 versus +28 last month
  • new orders -20 versus +40 last month
  • backlog of orders -9 versus +22 last month
  • number of employees 1 versus 11 last month
  • wages 36 versus 31 last month
  • average workweek -12 versus 3 last month
  • capital expenditures 11 versus 19 last month
  • services expenditures -10 versus 13 last month
  • equipment and software spending 3 versus 13 last month

The numbers suggest a tale of 2 economies. The current held up but the expectations going forward are not positive.