Final polls rolling in
IBD/TIPP and Rasmussen were two of the pollsters who correctly predicted a Trump upset four years ago. This time, it's a different story.
Rasmussen today is out with its final poll for the election and it shows Biden +1 nationally. Of course that's within the striking distance of Trump winning the electoral college but they also have Biden +3 in Pennsylvania and +1 in Florida. Without both of those states, Trump has no chance.
IBD/TIPP's had Trump +2 in its final poll in 2016. He lost the popular vote by 2.1 points but they have long taken credit for predicting his win. This time, they see Biden +3.
They write today:
Four keys to Biden's chances remain in place: Suburban voters back the Democrat by a solid margin. Wayward Trump voters are costing the president a small but significant share of his 2016 support. Meanwhile, Biden holds a wide advantage among those who voted for a third party or didn't vote in 2016.
They do note some slipping for Biden though in the past few daily polls.
"Biden's support had held at 50% or higher for six straight days, before slipping to 48.8% over the past three days," they write.
Importantly, they also note that Biden has an 8-point edge in swing states.