LONDON (MNI) – Below is a survey of analysts’ forecasts for UK
data due out in the week beginning January 31.
These are: the January Nationwide house price data, due out at 0700
GMT Tuesday, Feb 1; the January purchasing managers manufacturing index,
due out at 0928 GMT on Feb 1; the Bank of England personal lending data,
due out at 0930 GMT on Feb 1 and the Jan CIPS services index, due out at
0928 GMT on Feb 3.
[[
! Jan ! Jan ! !Dec !Dec ! ! !
! N’wide ! N’wide! Dec !BOE !BOE ! ! !
! House ! House ! BOE !Net !Cons. !Jan !Jan !
! Prices ! Prices! M’gage!M’gage !Credit !CIPS !CIPS !
! % ch. ! % ch. ! Apps. !Lending!stg !Manuf.!Serv. !
! m/m ! y/y ! ‘000s !stg bln!bln !Index !Index !
————————————————————————
Median forecast -0.3 -0.9 46.0 0.6 0.0 58.0 52.0
High forecast -0.2 -0.6 48.5 1.0 0.5 59.0 54.0
Low forecast -0.5 -1.1 40.0 0.2 -0.3 57.5 49.7
Previous period 0.4 0.4 48.0 0.0 -0.1 58.3 49.7
————————————————————————
Number responses 7 6 13 7 9 15 16
————————————————————————
4Cast -0.2 -0.6 47.0 0.5 0.0 n/a 50.0
ABN Amro -0.3 n/a 47.5 n/a n/a 57.5 51.0
Action Economics n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 49.7
Barclays Cap. n/a n/a 47.3 0.4 0.2 57.5 50.0
BNP Paribas -0.5 -1.1 48.0 n/a 0.5 58.0 52.5
BoA-ML n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 57.5 n/a
Capital Econ. n/a n/a 45.0 n/a 0.0 59.0 54.0
Citi n/a n/a 40.0 n/a n/a 58.8 52.0
Commerzbank n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 57.5 51.5
Deutsche n/a n/a 48.5 1.0 0.0 58.0 52.0
Global Insight -0.3 -0.9 45.0 0.7 -0.2 58.0 52.0
Investec n/a n/a 43.0 0.2 -0.3 58.0 53.0
JP Morgan -0.3 -0.9 46.5 0.6 0.2 58.0 54.0
Nomura n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 58.1 51.3
Soc. Generale n/a n/a 43.0 n/a -0.2 57.9 52.5
Sumitomo Mitsui -0.5 -1.1 46.0 n/a n/a 58.0 52.0
UBS -0.3 -0.9 46.0 0.7 n/a 57.8 49.8
————————————————————————
For further information contact David Robinson on 4420 7862 7491
or e-mail: drobinson@marketnews.com.
[TOPICS: M$B$$$,MABDS$,MABDA$]