US retail sales for August 0.6% vs. 1.0% estimate
US retail sales advance for August 2020
- Retail sales advance 0.6% vs. 1.0% estimate. Prior revised to 0.9% from 1.2%.
- Retail sales control group -0.1% vs. +0.3% estimate
- Retail sales ex auto +0.7% vs. 1.0% estimate
- Retail sales ex auto and gas +0.7% vs. 0.9% estimate
- ex auto and building materials 0.5% vs. 1.7%
- ex food services +0.1% vs. 0.5%
Disappointing numbers for retail sales. The control group retail sales (which excludes food services, car dealers building materials stores and gasoline stations) is part of GDP calculation and thought to reflect underlying consumer demand, came in negative. Generally speaking consumers accounts for two thirds of US GDP.
In other details:
- gasoline sales +0.4% vs. July is up 4.4%
- cars/parts sales +0.2% vs. July's -1.0%
- food and beverages -1.2% vs. +0.6%
- furniture +2.1% vs. +0.9%
- sporting-goods -5.7% vs. -5.3% last month
- Gen. merchandise -0.4% vs. -1.1% last month. Department store sales fell -2.3% vs. 2.0% last month
- eating and drinking increased to 4.7% vs. 4.1% last month
The supplemental jobless benefits expired last month which seem to have an impact on the numbers today. This may encourage lawmakers to come to an agreement on a new stimulus package.
Stocks have moved lower after the report with the Dow industrial average up 106 points. The NASDAQ index is up 35 points after being up around 55 points at the start of the New York session.
The USDJPY is trading to new session lows at 104.85 and continues its downward bias this week. The pair is down for the 3rd consecutive day. The range for the week is up to 130 pips after the non-trending 59 pips seen last week (the 2nd lowest calendar range for this year).