Adam posted on the seasonals to watch for this month: May forex seasonals: The consensus and the conventional wisdom are wrong

He noted:

  • Seasonally, May is the best month for the DXY over the past 20 years, averaging a 0.66% gain. it's risen in May in 9 of the past 11 years.

ANZ note similar, saying this will weigh on the euro.

  • May has typically been the best month for USD performance
  • this may put pressure on the euro, and indeed ... "We saw a little taste of that on Friday with the largest one-day fall in EUR in over a year"
  • strategists including Daniel Been wrote in a note

Friday's EUR drop noted below:

Adam posted on the seasonals to watch for this month:  May forex seasonals: The consensus and the conventional wisdom are wrong