UKIP vote evaporates again

  • Lab: 60.7% (+5.8)
  • Con: 28.8% (+10.0)
  • UKIP: 6.8% (-12.8)
  • LDem: 2.4% (-0.3)
  • Grn: 1.3% (-1.7)

Model:

  • Lab: 53%
  • Con: 28%
  • UKIP: 15%
  • LDem: 4%
  • Grn: 1%

I feel like I'm alone in the wilderness here. The whole world is getting back on board for May but I think they're misinterpreting the results.

If your model is just to compare it to the last election, you're doing it wrong. I believe in the models I'm using and they're showing the exit polls were right.