From the weekly Commitments of Traders report (collected at Tuesday’s close):

  • JPY net short 66K vs 74K prior
  • EUR net long 7K vs net short 8K last week
  • GBP net long 28K vs 26K prior
  • AUD net long 89K vs 80K prior
  • CHF net long 13K vs 10K prior
  • CAD net long 69K vs 64K prior
  • NZD net long 22K vs 19K prior

Highest net long EUR since July 2011. Quite a surprise to see yen shorts pull back. I’m not generally the type to do technical analysis on a COT chart but it looks like a rebound to the breakout point, which could be followed by a decline to the 2007 lows — and that would mean deeper JPY losses.