The Bank of Japan is meeting today, its policy decision will be handed down tomorrow sometime after 0230 GMT (which is 2130 US ET). The Bank intervened in the Japanese Government Bond market yet again today, buying the 10yr JGB. The yield on the 10 year JGB rose above the BOJ’s ceiling at 0.5%.

USD/JPY rose with the BOJ JGB buying, from lows circa 128.25 it hit highs above 129.00. Overnight implied volatility ahead of tomorrow’s meeting has hit a six-year high of 51%. Volatility is assured into and after the BOJ statement.

Other major FX traded in more confined ranges.

The data releases of focus were China’s Q4 GDP:

  • this came in better than expected but did show y/y growth was one of the lowest ever recorded (see bullets above for more)

and China’s December economic activity:

  • activity data is centred on 3 indicators: industrial production, retail sales and fixed asset investment. All three came in better than expected (again, see bullets above).

On central banks, the Japanese government said it’d be presenting the names of the nominees for the next BOJ Governor and Deputy Governors to the Diet (the Japanese parliament) on February 10. Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda's term expires on April 8 and BOJ policy change is expected after this. It may come sooner, though, given the selling pressure being heaped on Japanese Government Bonds.

China’s Securities News reported that the People’s Bank of China could cut interest rates and the Reserve Requirement Ratio (RR) as soon as this quarter.

Asian equity markets:

  • Japan’s Nikkei 225 +1.2%

  • China’s Shanghai Composite -0.25%

  • Hong Kong’s Hang Seng -1.1%

  • South Korea’s KOSPI -0.5%

  • Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 -0.2%

usdyen wrap 17 January 2023