Data from China is less encouraging that expected. Data from earlier in the week:

And responses:

Now analysts at Nomura have cut their forecast for China's 2023 gross domestic product (GDP) growth to 5.5% from 5.9% previously.

  • lowered its forecast for Q2 GDP growth to 7.8%y/y from its previous projection at 8.4%

This is against a background of the Chinese Communist Party government aiming for 2023 growth of around 5%.

As for policy implications, Nomura expects the People's Bank of China to cut its benchmark lending rate, the loan prime rate (LPR), by 10 basis points in mid-June.

  • "As China's economy moves out of the post-COVID sweet spot, Beijing may have to introduce other supportive measures, including adding transfers to local governments and SOEs (state-owned enterprises) via its policy banks"

Note that earlier this week we had the MLF setting from China:

The LPR rate setting for this month is due on the 22nd. Given the MLF rate was unchanged expectations are low for any change to LPRs in May. Not zero though.

Inflation data out of China cpi ppi yuan notes