Well, the Reserve Bank certainly got the shock value we suspect it was aiming for at its November Monetary Policy Statement. Nothing like saying you’re deliberately engineering a recession to put a damper on investment and employment plans.
We will be adding a special one-off January Business Outlook survey and will publish the results if respondent numbers warrant (historically a challenge in January). For now, ... if the ANZBO weakness is sustained, the RBNZ is in danger of engineering a harder landing than intended, with downside risk to residential investment, business investment and overall GDP.