Philly Fed
  • Prior -8.9 (was expecting -11.0)
  • Business index -24.3 versus -7.4 estimate
  • employment 5.1 versus +10.9 last month
  • average work week -3.2 versus 4.0 last month
  • price paid 26.5 versus 24.5 last month
  • prices received 14.9 versus 29.9 last month
  • delivery times -13.6 versus -5.6 last month
  • new orders -13.6 versus -10.9 last month
  • shipments 8.7 versus 11.1 last month
  • unfilled orders -17.0 versus -19.2 last month

looking forward six months

  • future activity 1.7 versus 4.9 last month
  • employment 8.1 versus -1.9 last month
  • average work week -2.1 versus -6.9 last month
  • Capex 7.5 versus 10.5 last month
  • average work week -2.1 versus -6.9 last month
  • prices paid 17.9 versus 25.7 last month
  • prices received 19.1 versus 21.3 last month
  • delivery times -24.0 versus -9.1 last month
  • new orders 9.2 versus 2.4 last month
  • shipments 4.6 versus 9.1 last month
  • unfilled orders -12.4 versus -0.6 last month

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Summary:

  • current indicators remain week
  • six consecutive negative reading
  • lowest reading since May 2020
  • employment remain positive but down from the previous month
  • prices paid ticked up after reaching a 2 1/2 year low last month
  • prices received dropped 15 points which was the lowest reading since February 2021 and slightly above its long-run average

For the future indicators, they remained soft:

  • new orders increased but shipments declined.
  • Firms expect increases in employment
  • both future price price indices were below their long-run averages

\Inflation