Look for US dollar buying at the month-end fix

Author: Adam Button | Category: Forex Orders

What to watch for at 1600 GMT

US dollar mask
The London fix is an hour later for North American traders this week week that usual because Europe has moved its clocks but North America doesn't until Sunday. That means it's at 1600 GMT (noon ET).

The final output of this month-end fixing model point to USD buying into today's fix, according to data from Citi, and Credit Agricole Research. 

"As of asset index closing values of 28 October, the estimate for this month-end's FX hedge rebalancing needs has flipped to a moderate USD buy from a sell-signal published in the preliminary estimate earlier this week. This could be clouding the picture for FX vs equities," Citi notes. 

"The moves in equity markets, when adjusted for market capitalisation and monthly FX performance, suggest that month-end portfolio-rebalancing flows are likely to be neutral-to-mild USD buying across the board with the strongest buy signal in the case of the USD vs JPY," CACIB notes.

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