Dollar continues to soften as US-China trade talks loom

Technical Analysis

Author: Justin Low | eurusd

EUR/USD remains a key pressure point as it holds a break above 1.10

EUR/USD H1 10-10
The dollar is getting no reprieve on the session as it continues to fall across the board against the rest of the major currencies bloc today. EUR/USD has now pushed to a high of 1.1034 while cable is running into key near-term resistance near 1.2260.

Meanwhile, the likes of the aussie and kiwi are also pushing solid gains against the greenback with AUD/USD and NZD/USD hitting session highs of 0.6767 and 0.6334 respectively.

US-China trade talks remain the key focal point in markets right now and currency traders aren't really siding with a massive breakdown in talks - as evident by yen flows as well.

I reckon the dollar flows we're seeing this morning could be in part related to the significant strengthening in the yuan earlier on - after the Bloomberg report of a possible currency pact in the partial US-China trade deal.

Couple that with a near-term technical break in EUR/USD and you have a bit of a potential breakout in dollar pairs across the board.

Looking at the chart above, there isn't really much stopping EUR/uSD from a potential run towards the swing region of 1.1050-55 and swing highs of around 1.1070-75.

However, fundamentally, any sustained run now will depend on trade talks in Washington so until we have more clarity on that, it's hard to get too excited just yet about a major breakout towards the upside in the pair.

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