US dollar continues to weaken after weaker data
EURUSD expense to new session highsThe US dollar continues to weaken after weaker ISM and construction spending;
The USDJPY moved sharply lower on the data but has bounced back higher. The low extended toward the 38.2% retracement of the move up from the November 21 low at 109.168. There is also a swing area at 109.137 to 109.20. On the run lower, the pair fell below its 100 hour moving average at 109.40 and a trend line at 109.34. We currently trade between those levels. If the sellers are to remain in control, they would like to see the price remain below the 109.40 level (home to the 100 hour moving average and low from Friday's trade). A move above would muddy the water for the bears. Stay below keeps the downside and the sellers more in control.
The USDCHF has move below its 200 day moving average at 0.99452 without much of a fight. The pair is currently trading at session lows at 0.99374. Stay below the 200 day moving average keeps the bears in control.
The NZDUSD has also continued its trend move to the upside and currently trades just above the 0.6500 level for the 1st time since August 7. In the process the price has also moved above its 50% retracement of the move down from the July high to the October low. That level comes in at the 0.64966 level. The pair also moved above a swing area at 0.64864. That level and the 50% retracement are now risk levels for longs.