Feds Evans
Chicago Fed Pres. Charlie Evans speaking on CNBC
  • Jobs ever have been quite good for some time
  • Labor market solid
  • There is a tremendous amount of uncertainty regarding Russia and Ukraine
  • Report doesn't change anything that Fed chair Powell is positioning for
  • With inflation pressures, we need to be moving towards more neutral monetary policy
  • Need to be positioned for that
  • This is not the 1970s story of how inflation got out of hand. THis is leaped up
  • Need to be close enough to neutral by the end of the year so that we can deal adequately with inflation
  • Commodity price rises reinforces unhelpful tendencies in prices
  • By the end of the year will have a better fix on how far we need to go on rates
  • I don't think we will see nearly as restrictive setting of monetary policy as we did in the 90s
  • Doing 25 basis points of rate hikes at each meeting may be more than essential
  • Expect Fed funds at end the year 1 3/4% to 2% which is close enough to neutral for the Fed.