GMTAuthor: Eamonn Sheridan

22

While the data is just out, its as of Tuesday (November 13), bear that in mind when reading

Focusing on leveraged funds positioning:

EUR 
  • net short, fell by 9,708 contracts to 93,037
JPY 
  • net short increased by 10,266 contracts to 69,863
GBP 
  • from net short 9of 16K odd contracts) the previous week to now a net long 1,829
CHF 
  • net short down 142 contracts to 5,948
CAD 
  • net short, down 693 contracts to 9,206 
AUD 
  • net short reduced by 3,572 contracts to 22,534
NZD 
  • net short down by 866 contracts to 17,410
--
And, for asset manager positions:

EUR
  • Net long +9,171 contracts to 143,526 (i.e. net long increased by 9171 contracts)
JPY
  • net short +5,585 contracts to 21,795
GBP
  • net short +2,838 contracts to 45,390 
CHF
  • net CHF short +702 contracts to 13,492 
CAD
  • net CAD long -268 contracts to 8,705 
AUD
  • net short -4,117 contracts to 33,596 
NZD
  • net short -4,270 contracts to 3,247 
--
Hedge funds and specs cut long USD positions by 19K contracts to 281K 
  • that's the largest bearish shift since March this year
For GBP, net short is the smallest in 3 weeks
For the kiwi, the net short is its smallest since June 





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Fri 16 Nov 2018 20:55:26 GMT

2

More Fed comments - Harker not convinced a December rate hike is prudent

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More Fed comments - Harker not convinced a December rate hike is prudent


Eamonn Sheridan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 20:55:26 GMT
Category: Central Banks
2


Harker is President of the Federal Reserve branch in Philadelphia - Says that he is not convinced a rate hike in December is the prudent thing to do - Citing rising uncertainty on the outlook  Wall Street Journal reporting his remarks 

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May to the rescue. If you want a job done properly...
Asset 41
Fri 16 Nov 2018 20:53:19 GMT

A recap of Friday's Talking Fed Heads Clarida, Kaplan, Evans comments

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A recap of Friday's Talking Fed Heads Clarida, Kaplan, Evans comments


Eamonn Sheridan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 20:53:19 GMT
Category: News
0
Federal Reserve speakers today, with much toing and froing for the USD as a result () Forexlive Nth American FX News 16 Nov USD sold on Fed's concern about Global Growth Reuters have a recap up also, worth a scan thorough alongside Giles wrap if you missed the headlines during US time.

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Fri 16 Nov 2018 20:44:56 GMT

Bank of England on hold right through 2019? (Brexit risk, slowing data)

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Bank of England on hold right through 2019? (Brexit risk, slowing data)


Eamonn Sheridan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 20:44:56 GMT
Category: Central Banks
0
BoE thoughts from Barclays, saying the Bank of England is constrained by political risk. Which is never good.   Anyway, Barclays, this in very brief: ForexLive

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Fri 16 Nov 2018 20:33:52 GMT

3

Former UK Brexit Sec Davis - PM May's deal will be rejected by parliament

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Former UK Brexit Sec Davis - PM May's deal will be rejected by parliament


Eamonn Sheridan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 20:33:52 GMT
Category: News
3
One of the high profile quitters David Davis on CNBC - PM's May's deal with the EU will be rejected by the UK parliament - May will have to come up with another alternative to the Brexit deal with the EU 

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Fri 16 Nov 2018 20:29:20 GMT

1

Heads up for AUD traders - next week brings RBA minutes and a Governor Lowe speech

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Heads up for AUD traders - next week brings RBA minutes and a Governor Lowe speech


Eamonn Sheridan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 20:29:20 GMT
Category: Central Banks
1
A preview of the Reserve Bank of Australia November 2018 Monetary Policy Meeting of the Reserve Bank Board The minutes will be released at 0030GMT on Tuesday 20 November 2018 (only 3 more sleeps! … for Australians, your results may vary ;-) )

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Fri 16 Nov 2018 20:17:33 GMT

2

Comments crossing on UK trade negotiations with the US for a post-Brexit agreement

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Comments crossing on UK trade negotiations with the US for a post-Brexit agreement


Eamonn Sheridan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 20:17:33 GMT
Category: News
2
US - UK trade talks headlines, just a few items on the wires, not much detail. - Liam Fox says he welcomes US steps to begin talks on trade post-Brexit - David Davis adds the US officials are receptive to a trade deal with the UK Which is nice. 

Asset 24 View More
Fri 16 Nov 2018 20:12:49 GMT

1

ICYMI: New Brexit Secretary named - leave supporter Stephen Barclay

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ICYMI: New Brexit Secretary named - leave supporter Stephen Barclay


Eamonn Sheridan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 20:12:49 GMT
Category: News
1
Stephen Barclay has been picked on as the new Brexit secretary Poor chap. Barclay is a leave supporter. that the Department Barclay will head has been stripped of negotiating responsibility. It'll focus instead on domestic preparations.

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Fri 16 Nov 2018 19:50:35 GMT

7

Goldman Sachs like the AUD and NZD against EUR

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Goldman Sachs like the AUD and NZD against EUR


Eamonn Sheridan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 19:50:35 GMT
Category: News
7
GS on the Australian and New Zealand dollars against the euro, citing China growth bottoming out  From a late-week note, the bank likes long AUD and NZD vs. EUR, citing:

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Fri 16 Nov 2018 19:31:59 GMT

2

ICYMI - Paul Tudor Jones on stocks, bonds, credit, real estate (says all overpriced!)

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ICYMI - Paul Tudor Jones on stocks, bonds, credit, real estate (says all overpriced!)


https://az705044.vo.msecnd.net/20151005/paul-tudor-jones-2.png Eamonn Sheridan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 19:31:59 GMT
Category: News
2
A heads up for remarks from hedge fund big wig Paul Tudor Jones. He was speaking at  the Greenwich Economic Forum in Greenwich, Connecticut. These have been out over the past 24 hours or so, so not breaking

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Fri 16 Nov 2018 19:28:44 GMT

3

US politics: Subpoenas planned for Comey (former FBI Director) and Lynch (former AG)

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US politics: Subpoenas planned for Comey (former FBI Director) and Lynch (former AG)


Eamonn Sheridan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 19:28:44 GMT
Category: News
3
A US House Republican plans to issues subpoenas on boht. This is a heads up on what it is to come for the next two years. Now the Democrats have been voted into control of the House, they will launch investigations into Republicans. And the Reps won't sit on their hands, they'll return the favour with investigations into Dems. 

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Fri 16 Nov 2018 19:05:51 GMT

23

GBP traders, heads up for weekend risk. What will the Brexit headlines be?

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GBP traders, heads up for weekend risk. What will the Brexit headlines be?


https://az705044.vo.msecnd.net/20170615/theresa-may-hat.png Eamonn Sheridan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 19:05:51 GMT
Category: News
23
A big risk this weekend is a toppling of Prime Minister May from the leadership. But that is just one. Monday morning could bring anything. Or nothing! Who is holding a GBP position over the weekend? 

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Fri 16 Nov 2018 18:56:25 GMT

2

Forexlive Nth American FX News 16 Nov USD sold on Fed's concern about Global Growth 

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Forexlive Nth American FX News 16 Nov USD sold on Fed's concern about Global Growth 


//az705044.vo.msecnd.net/20181116/screen-shot-2018-11-16-at-18.44.32.png Giles Coghlan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 18:56:25 GMT
Category: News
2
USD sold on Global Growth concerns Markets The day started off slowly with few moves in the currency markets until a flurry of dollar selling which was triggered by a bearish outlook from the Fed on Global growth. This was perceived to be a note of caution in the Fed's hiking path and the USD Index retreated from the 97.00 daily figure. The Index needed to break clear of that level to maintain it's march higher.  I did a quick look at some of the reports I could find on . However, Fed's Evans spoke later in the session around 1800 GMT and questioned the reality of vs the fear/prediction of a global slowdown in growth.

Asset 24 View More
Fri 16 Nov 2018 18:43:42 GMT

NY Fed GDP Nowcast steady at 2.6%

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NY Fed GDP Nowcast steady at 2.6%


Giles Coghlan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 18:43:42 GMT
Category: News
0
NY Fed GDP Nowcast at 2.6% See here for previous. ForexLive

Asset 24 View More
Fri 16 Nov 2018 18:26:06 GMT

Fed's Evans on the wires again

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Fed's Evans on the wires again


Giles Coghlan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 18:26:06 GMT
Category: News
0
Federal Reserve's Evans ForexLive

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Fri 16 Nov 2018 18:08:13 GMT

USDJPY responding to Trump's tweet

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USDJPY responding to Trump's tweet


Giles Coghlan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 18:08:13 GMT
Category: News
0
USDJPY now off from 112.93 highs and at 112.765 Trump's USD/JPY boosting tweet now erased as price returns to pre-relase price of 112.70 US Stocks slipping back too 

Asset 24 View More
Fri 16 Nov 2018 18:01:30 GMT

Baker Hughes oil rigs  888 versus 886 prior 

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Baker Hughes oil rigs  888 versus 886 prior 


//az705044.vo.msecnd.net/20181116/screen-shot-2018-11-16-at-18.03.13.png Giles Coghlan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 18:01:30 GMT
Category: News
0
Total rig counts 1082  versus 1081 last week - oil rigs  888 versus 886 last week - gas rigs 194 versus 195 last week - total rig count 1082 versus 1081 last week

Asset 24 View More
Fri 16 Nov 2018 17:36:35 GMT

10

Trump says US will hopefully make a deal with China

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Trump says US will hopefully make a deal with China


Giles Coghlan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 17:36:35 GMT
Category: News
10
Trump getting cosy with China USDJPY bid instantly and shooting up, now at 112.86   ForexLive

Asset 24 View More
Fri 16 Nov 2018 17:19:00 GMT

32

May to the rescue. If you want a job done properly...

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May to the rescue. If you want a job done properly...


//az705044.vo.msecnd.net/20181116/thomas-charters-296769-unsplash.jpg Giles Coghlan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 17:19:00 GMT
Category: News
32
do it yourself. That is exactly what Theresa May is doing now by 'stripping the Brexit dept of it's role'. Well, who can blame her - first of all we had David Davis our very own Brexit bulldog. However, he left. Then Dominic Raab entered the fray, but he has gone too. Michale Gove was offered the role, but who wants it really? Certainly not Gove. So, what was May's solution- I'll just have to do the job myself. 

Asset 24 View More
Fri 16 Nov 2018 17:08:50 GMT

US Treasury 10-year yields fall to 2 week low 

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US Treasury 10-year yields fall to 2 week low 


//az705044.vo.msecnd.net/20181116/screen-shot-2018-11-16-at-17.07.16.png Giles Coghlan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 17:08:50 GMT
Category: News
0
US Stocks resume their earlier falls As you were , Nasdaq down a full -1.00% and Dow and S&P 500 both down too. 10-year yields falling towards the 100EMA on the daily chart now at 3.08

Asset 24 View More
Fri 16 Nov 2018 16:54:41 GMT

3

Global growth forecasts are down 

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Global growth forecasts are down 


//az705044.vo.msecnd.net/20181116/nasa-53884-unsplash.jpg Giles Coghlan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 16:54:41 GMT
Category: News
3
Fed concerned about slowing Global Growth   here are some global growth projections that I have come across. It seems like most folks are predicting a coming slow down in the Global economy.

Asset 24 View More
Fri 16 Nov 2018 16:37:39 GMT

Federal Reserves Evans on the wires

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Federal Reserves Evans on the wires


Giles Coghlan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 16:37:39 GMT
Category: News
0
Via Reuters ForexLive

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Fri 16 Nov 2018 16:32:28 GMT

USDJPY held at 50 EMA for now, but USD weakness persists

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USDJPY held at 50 EMA for now, but USD weakness persists


//az705044.vo.msecnd.net/20181116/screen-shot-2018-11-16-at-16.26.55.png Giles Coghlan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 16:32:28 GMT
Category: News
0
USDJPY holding at Daily 50EMA The NASDAQ is down nearly -0.50% while the S&P 500 and Dow are tradinng nearly flat for the day. The earlier gains were not maintained and the USD weakness precipitated by the Fed drawing attention to slower Global growth has continued into the session.

Asset 24 View More
Fri 16 Nov 2018 16:11:49 GMT

7

Total US Household debt now $837bln higher than crisis era-peak

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Total US Household debt now $837bln higher than crisis era-peak


//az705044.vo.msecnd.net/20181116/luke-michael-302392-unsplash.jpg Giles Coghlan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 16:11:49 GMT
Category: News
7
US household debt at record level US Serious delinquencies flows jumped in student debt; ticked up in credit card: flat in mortgage and Auto ForexLive

Asset 24 View More
Fri 16 Nov 2018 15:43:56 GMT

US stocks have erased losses

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US stocks have erased losses


Giles Coghlan
Fri 16 Nov 2018 15:43:56 GMT
Category: News
0
US Stocks bounce back from the opening losses ForexLive

Asset 24 View More

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