Brexit - Reuters poll shows 40% chance of no UK_EU trade deal
Reuters poll of 78 economists on expectations for developments in the UK:
- median 40% chance there will be no EU-UK trade deal by
end of the transition period (same as Sept poll)
- UK economy to expand 2.6% this quarter;
1.0% in Q1 (3.4%; 1.3% in Sept poll)
- UK economy to contract 10.1% in 2020; grow
6.1% in 2021 (-10.0%; +6.1% in Sept poll)
- Bank of England to keep bank rate at 0.10%
through 2022 (same as Sept poll)
- Bank of England to increase quantitative
easing programme by 100 bln pounds on November 5
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