• IMF hoping to raise $600B in new funds; US not interested in contributing
  • Greece fin min: haircut deal by the weekend likely
  • US nears deal to give 1m homeowners principal writedown
  • Monti forecasts 5% surplus in 2013
  • Greece threatens bond holdouts with punitive laws
  • NAHB housing market index hits highest since June 2007
  • Industrial production +0.4% vs +0.5% exp, underlying numbers better
  • US PPI -0.1% m/m vs +0.1% exp
  • BOC’s Carney: CDN housing overvalued in some cases, hikes inflation forecasts
  • Carney: European recession to last four quarters
  • ECB’s Weidmann: German growth to be flatish in Q1, pickup later
  • ECB’s
  • US rejects US-Canadian Keystone pipeline
  • European stocks mixed; DAX +0.3%, Spain -1.4%
  • S&P500 +1.1% to 1307
  • CHF and EUR were the top performers, USD and JPY trailed

The euro climbed throughout the session but it was a choppy grind. EUR/USD spent almost the entire session above 1.28 but continually ran into offers at 1.2860.

The IMF headlines sparked the first run higher and then news that Greece is nearing a deal triggered the second leg.

The underlying story was of funds covering medium-term EUR shorts on a number of crosses. Large orders in GBP, AUD and CAD prompted spikes at varying times.

Trading in EUR/CHF was adventurous. A fat finger triggered a 50 pip jump to 1.2130 and fears of intervention. When confirmation came of the errant bid, it plunged to new lows at 1.2070.