• Anticipates further US fiscal action in coming months
  • Further measures needed if outlook to return to stable
  • Lack of more cuts could affect rating negatively
  • Estimates US debt-to-GDP peaking at about 80% in 2014
  • More medium-term actions may be needed to support Aaa rating

None of this comes as any surprise but it’s a reminder that the fiscal cliff deal closes one chapter in the US book of dysfunctional politics and opens another.