The best trade to put on at the start of the quarter was long EUR/AUD. The pair gained relentlessly since the start of April in a cumulative 19 big figure move.

There are a number of trade recommendations floating around suggesting bets on a retracement of the huge one-way move but zooming out to the quarterly chart shows the gains could just be the start of a retracement of the relentless decline since the crisis.

EURAUD quarterly chart

EURAUD quarterly chart

Of course, both side could ultimately be proven right if the pair could drift back to 1.35/1.33 before resuming its upward climb.