• Discussions focused on contingencies and downside risks that may materialise
  • One cause due to short term interest rate volatility not being transmitted along the yield curve
  • So far EU area and markets have shown resilience
  • Lack of contagion positive effect of ECB guidance
  • Suspension of SMP sterilisation one instrument on the table
  • Will depend on contingencies we face
  • Not seeing deflation in Europe only low inflation for protracted period of time
  • Inflation similar to US even though they have a much more advanced recovery
  • Low inflation primarily driven by food and energy prices
  • Must still be cautious with recovery which is fragile and uneven
  • Spending still weak but consumer confidence is rising, savings rates have been stable
  • There has been no pass through of vat increases in France and Italy