BOJ’S Shirai :

  • Says positive cycle of output, income, expenditure likely to continue in Japan
  • Downside risks subsiding somewhat but still need to be mindful of them
  • Japan prices likely to gradually rise around Q4 of 2014
  • Will take some time for medium-, long-term inflation expectations of households to rise as a trend
  • Downside risks on Japan price outlook subsiding somewhat, but still need monitoring
  • Must scrutinise economy, price moves after second sales tax hike to see whether 2% inflation will be sustained stably
  • My economy, price forecasts are made on assumption QQE will be maintained beyond 2015
  • Feel Japan will need more than 2 years to achieve 2% inflation under current flexible inflation targeting
  • CPI likely to reach 2% in middle of projection period, assessment on risks to Japan prices tilted to downside
  • Japan consumers will need time to get accustomed to an economy with sustained rises in prices

Headlines courtesy of Reuters

At 0500GMT Shirai will follow up her speech with a press conference

Yen continuing its slow strengthening move today on the speech … USD/JPY is back to overnight lows