A widely expected decision, no surprise (OIS pricing was last at 95% probability of a hike).

Next up from the RBNZ, at 2105GMT, Graeme Wheeler (governor of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand) will face a news conference. As I said earlier, Wheeler is never shy of the opportunity to talk down the kiwi $, so watch out for that.

Comments:

  • Says high level of NZD is unsustainable
  • Says important rates return to more neutral level
  • Inflation seen in lower part of target band through 2014
  • Sees annual CPI at 1.5% at end 2014, 1.9% at end 2015
  • RBNZ says speed, extent of rate rise to depend on data and inflation
  • Important that the Official Cash Rate (OCR) rises to more neutral level
  • Inflation pressures in construction expected to be acute
  • Higher migration gains for longer may need higher rates
  • Says overall inflation remains moderate
  • Lowers March 2015 annual GDP growth to 2.7% from 3.2%
  • Sees inflation reaching 2% in Q2 2015 vs. Q2 2014

Quick headline comments via Reuters and Bloomberg