Reuters Tankan:

  • Japan manufacturers index +20 in August vs +19 in July, up for first time in four months
  • Non-manufacturers index +19 in August vs +23 in July, down for two straight months
  • Japan manufacturers November index seen at +17, non-manufacturers +24

From the Reuters report accompanying the data (Reuters Tankan poll of 400 big firms taken August 4-18, of which 281 replied):

  • manufacturers – first improvement since April
  • But the service sector’s mood soured for the second straight month
  • Service-sector mood is seen rebounding over the coming three months
  • Manufacturers’ sentiment is expected to slide, possibly reflecting weakness in external demand and factory output
  • The monthly poll is strongly correlated with the Bank of Japan’s tankan survey. Weak readings in the quarterly tankan due next on Oct. 1 and other indicators could keep the pressure on central bank to act to sustain growth
  • “Recovery in demand is being delayed as China and other emerging markets lack momentum despite steadiness in the U.S. economy as seen by recent indicators,” a producer of nonferrous metals said in the Reuters poll.

What is the Reuters Tankan? … From this marvellous resource:

  • There is a Bank of Japan Tankan Survey and a Reuters Tankan Survey. Both are surveys of manufacturing and service companies designed to assess business conditions in Japan. The BOJ Tankan is conducted quarterly, the Reuters Tankan is monthly

ADDED – The article is available on the web now: Japan manufacturers’ mood up, outlook dims – Reuters Tankan