Report from the McKinsey Global Institute (via the WSJ):

  • Declining population growth that shrinks the pool of available labor over the next 50 years will reduce by 40% the rate of growth in global economic output for the world’s 20 largest economies compared to the past 50 years
  • To compensate … productivity needs to accelerate 80% from its historical rate to keep global growth in gross domestic product from slowing
  • Workforce … could peak in most of the 20 countries analyzed in the report over the coming 50 years
  • Several nations will see outright declines in employment, including Japan, Germany, Russia, Italy and China
  • McKinsey sees GDP growth in the U.S. slowing by around one third, from an annual rate of 2.9% to 1.9%
  • Canada …. growth will drop by more than half to 1.5% from 3.1%
mckinsey

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