Bloomberg with comments from HSBC’s head economist for Australia/NZ Paul Bloxham on the outlook for New Zealand:

  • Domestic inflation pressures will build in 2015 – sees CPI inflation at 2% by 1Q 2016
  • Above-trend economic growth
  • Capacity constraints
  • Dairy prices will recover in 2015 as China demand improves
  • Retains forecast for the RBNZ to resume rate hikes in Q4
  • Sees official cash rate hikes to 4.5% by end of 2016