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More from Swiss govt’s SECO (State Secretariat for Economic Affairs):

  • decided not to issue update of economic forecasts after end of CHF cap
  • aknowledges removal of cap means last forecasts are no longer valid
  • persistent higher franc means economic development will be weaker than forecast
  • hard to gauge extent of possible slowdown in economic activity due to rise of franc
  • still considerable uncertainty as to where exchange rates will settle
  • a strong broad rise in CHF against a number of currencies would lead to falling exports, weaker economy and a rise in unemployment

Should we read something into that last line re a new SNB CHF basket perhaps as has been recently mooted? Or a red herring ?

Time will tell

USDCHF 0.9241 EURCHF 1.0480