BOE governor now begins testimony to parliamentary TSC 21 Feb

  • except in exceptional circumstances
  • generally uses a "conditioning path"
  • path at Nov report was 2 hikes, now almost 3

GBP suitably unfazed at the moment.

  • we are not in exceptional circumstances now
  • horizon to bring inflation back to target has moved in from 3 years but not yet 2 years in MPC's collective view
  • further stimulus withdrawal needed in coming years

Haldane:

  • reasons for more hawkish view now is stronger world economy ans somewhat in UK too
  • last year has seen stronger than expected momentum

Broadbent:

  • degree of UK spare capacity has shrunk
  • sees firming of inflationary pressures

GBP still largely unfazed by a repeat of what we already know but a tad firmer.