Nikkei survey ahead of Sunday's lower house election:
In summary:
- Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's ruling coalition on track to win around 300 of the 465 seats
- 23% of the 289 single-seat constituencies and 16% of the 176 proportional-representation seats still considered close races
- LDP on around 207 single-seat districts and 55 proportional-representation seats (held 290 seats before the lower house was dissolved)
- Junior coalition partner Komeito looks to reach 35 seats (from 34)
- Leaves Abe's coalition it just short of the 310 seats two-thirds supermajority (needed to advance Abe's goal of revising Japan's pacifist constitution to formally acknowledge the role of the country's Self-Defense Forces)
- Tokyo Gov. Yuriko Koike's Party of Hope - latest survey shows winning 55 seats
The key take away is it appears Abe will win easily. This is most likely a steady result for BOJ policy and perhaps even reappointment of Kuroda as Governor (his term expires in April)
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ps. This is just one poll, if anyone would like to pop others into the comments, please do.
