Comments from HSBC on gold, the euro and the European Central Bank

  • USD1,300/oz beckons
  • the market looks robust
  • The most likely roadblock is a recovery in the USD

More, this on the EUR and ECB:

  • The ECB minutes showed some concern on EUR strength
  • Given these minutes are carefully constructed, the inclusion of notions of unease about EUR strength is significant
  • If the EUR weakens to the USD, this could stall the gold rally

& back to the yellow rock:

  • Without the obstruction of a stronger USD, gold looks like challenging USD1,300/oz
  • The worry over low inflation has provided bullion with a second wind
  • Geopolitical risk-off sentiment also remains, related to the recent North Korea news
  • The modest build in gold-ETFs recently and the move back into the gold space of macro investors is encouraging
  • USD1,300/oz is a tough resistance level, however, and may not be cracked on the first couple of attempts