Philly Fed business outlook survey for Sept 2017

  • Prior was +23.8

Details:

  • Prices paid 38.1 vs 34.4 prior
  • New orders 19.6 vs 29.5 prior
  • Shipments 24.4 vs 29.4 prior
  • Number of employees 30.6 vs 6.6 prior
  • Prices received 14.2 vs 22.8 prior
  • Unfilled orders 10.9 vs 17.0 prior
  • Inventories +6.0 vs -1.4 prior
  • Avg. Workweek 19.4 vs 11.9 prior

Like a bolt of lightning, the employment component hit an all-time high in September. The thing is, when it rises 24 points in a month, you have to think it's some kind of aberration, not the trend.