Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem and Senior Deputy Carolyn Rogers appear before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance

We heard from Rogers on Tuesday (local CAD time):

And, the knives are out for the housing sector says Rogers:

  • we need lower house prices to restore balance to housing market

We can expect more of the same from Macklem and Rogers at this testimony.

Macklem:

  • We expect our policy rate will need to rise further
  • How much further policy rates would need to rise will depend on how monetary policy is working to slow demand
  • Inflation in Canada remains high and broad-based, reflecting large increases in both goods and services prices
  • We have yet to see a generalized decline in price pressures
  • Canadian economy is still in excess demand and it’s overheated
  • Higher interest rates are beginning to weigh on growth
  • Effects of higher rates will take time to spread through the economy
  • Expect growth will stall in the next few quarters; once we get through this slowdown, growth will pick up
  • We are trying to balance the risks of under- and over-tightening
  • The tightening phase will come to an end, and we are getting closer, but we are not there yet
  • with inflation so far above our target we are particularly concerned about the upside risks
  • BoC balance sheet peaked in March 2021 at CAD575bn, as of last week it was around CAD 415bn, a drops of around 28%
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