Looks like the playbook is clear

The early race to watch was Kentucky's 6th district. it was a tossup but Democrat Amy McGrath appears to be pulling away.

She leads 51.4% to 47.4% with about half the vote in. Other races are showing a solid Democratic showing as well but it's still spotty and one Senate race bodes poorly for Democrats.

I think the important takeaway here is that stock are selling off on Democratic gains. That's what most thought the market reaction would be, but you never know until it starts to happen. More importantly, you never know if it will last.

Another one is Virginia's 10th district. Democrats were supposed to win by 8-9 points in a pickup of a Republican seat. They're up by 16 points.