Fed's George
Can see Fed Pres. Esther George

The Fed's George came back in line and voted with her fellow Fed members for a 75 basis point hike at the last Fed meeting. At the previous meeting George had dissented in favor of a 50 basis point hike.

George says:

  • Inflation number last month is encouraging
  • Warns it is not time for a victory lap
  • relief and core inflation so far hardly comforting
  • US still has a pretty significant imbalance between demand and supply
  • inflation expectations seem to be pretty well anchored
  • some encouraging signs around supply, given drop in shipping rates and improvement in delivery times
  • no relief yet seen in the job market, with businesses reporting they are still under pressure to raise wages to higher
  • does not expect much further help on inflation from improvements in supply
  • productivity numbers currently abysmal
  • pace of rate change can have implications for households and businesses
  • policy has lags that must be watched
  • not clear where stopping point for rate hikes will be, but Fed will need to be completely convinced inflation is coming down
  • easing of financial conditions may have been based on optimism that Fed would slow down but does not reflect how Fed is thinking about policy